Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.709661e-04 0.000194 0.000218 0.000245 0.000273 0.000303 0.000335
2025-01-05 1.282789e-04 0.000163 0.000202 0.000247 0.000298 0.000353 0.000417
2025-01-12 9.856039e-05 0.000138 0.000184 0.000241 0.000307 0.000380 0.000468
2025-01-19 7.486437e-05 0.000116 0.000166 0.000229 0.000306 0.000395 0.000502
2025-01-26 6.026348e-05 0.000102 0.000156 0.000226 0.000314 0.000417 0.000544
2025-02-02 4.942571e-05 0.000092 0.000148 0.000225 0.000323 0.000439 0.000585
2025-02-09 3.964232e-05 0.000081 0.000139 0.000221 0.000327 0.000456 0.000619
2025-02-16 3.417608e-05 0.000076 0.000137 0.000225 0.000341 0.000484 0.000667
2025-02-23 2.865817e-05 0.000070 0.000133 0.000226 0.000351 0.000506 0.000708
2025-03-02 2.370594e-05 0.000064 0.000128 0.000225 0.000358 0.000526 0.000745
2025-03-09 2.226580e-05 0.000064 0.000132 0.000237 0.000382 0.000566 0.000808
2025-03-16 1.894225e-05 0.000060 0.000130 0.000239 0.000393 0.000589 0.000850
2025-03-23 1.656531e-05 0.000058 0.000130 0.000245 0.000410 0.000622 0.000905
2025-03-30 1.371334e-05 0.000054 0.000127 0.000248 0.000422 0.000648 0.000953
2025-04-06 1.003690e-05 0.000047 0.000119 0.000241 0.000421 0.000658 0.000979
2025-04-13 6.573632e-06 0.000039 0.000109 0.000230 0.000413 0.000658 0.000992
2025-04-20 4.684592e-06 0.000035 0.000103 0.000227 0.000416 0.000672 0.001024
2025-04-27 3.346026e-06 0.000031 0.000099 0.000226 0.000422 0.000689 0.001060
2025-05-04 2.137556e-06 0.000027 0.000094 0.000222 0.000423 0.000700 0.001087
2025-05-11 1.622973e-06 0.000026 0.000094 0.000226 0.000436 0.000727 0.001136
2025-05-18 1.083792e-06 0.000024 0.000091 0.000226 0.000444 0.000748 0.001177
2025-05-25 6.495838e-07 0.000022 0.000089 0.000226 0.000450 0.000766 0.001214
2025-06-01 6.095364e-07 0.000022 0.000093 0.000238 0.000475 0.000810 0.001285